2026 World Cup Simulator (2024)

2026 World Cup Qualifying Simulator

Pot 1 & ranking points

Brazil 1911 France 1879 Argentina 1846 England 1805 Belgium 1805 Netherlands 1781 Italy 1733 Croatia 1724 Switzerland 1707 Spain 1694 Morocco 1693 Portugal 1688

Pot 2 & ranking points

USA 1672 Poland 1652 Germany 1648 Senegal 1646 Uruguay 1637 Mexico 1603 Colombia 1594 Iran 1594 Wales 1581 Denmark 1572 Japan 1568 Sweden 1563

Pot 3 & ranking points

Korea Rep. 1562 Egypt 1561 Ukraine 1554 Peru 1521 Austria 1517 Costa Rica 1515 Chile 1503 Cameroon 1501 Saudi Arabia 1493 Côte d'Ivoire 1484 Jamaica 1476 Australia 1473

Pot 4 & ranking points

Paraguay 1468 Burkina Faso 1454 Canada 1443 Ghana 1425 Qatar 1422 El Salvador 1378 Oman 1377 China PR 1356 Zambia 1330 Guinea 1305 Mauritania 1258 American Samoa 970

Group 1

₁Croatia9 ₂Iran6 ₃Ukraine3 ₄Mauritania0Avg. Ranking 1532

Group 2

₁Brazil9 ₃Australia4 ₂Wales2 ₄Canada1Avg. Ranking 1602

Group 3

₂Mexico9 ₄Ghana4 ₃Chile3 ₁Italy1Avg. Ranking 1566

Group 4

₁Netherlands9 ₂Uruguay4 ₃Côte d'Ivoire3 ₄American Samoa1Avg. Ranking 1468

Group 5

₁Argentina9 ₃Egypt6 ₂Denmark3 ₄El Salvador0Avg. Ranking 1589

Group 6

₂Germany5 ₄Qatar4 ₁Belgium4 ₃Cameroon3Avg. Ranking 1594

Group 7

₁England9 ₂Japan6 ₄Burkina Faso1 ₃Peru1Avg. Ranking 1587

Group 8

₂Colombia7 ₃Saudi Arabia6 ₁Switzerland4 ₄Zambia0Avg. Ranking 1531

Group 9

₁France9 ₂Poland6 ₃Costa Rica3 ₄China PR0Avg. Ranking 1600

Group 10

₁Portugal7 ₄Paraguay5 ₂Senegal4 ₃Jamaica0Avg. Ranking 1569

Group 11

₁Morocco9 ₃Austria6 ₂USA3 ₄Oman0Avg. Ranking 1565

Group 12

₂Sweden7 ₃Korea Rep.5 ₁Spain4 ₄Guinea0Avg. Ranking 1531

Croatia def. Australia

Uruguay def. Mexico

Argentina def. Belgium

England def. Saudi Arabia

Brazil def. Iran

Netherlands def. Ghana

Egypt def. Germany

Japan def. Colombia

France def. Senegal

Portugal def. Qatar

Switzerland def. Morocco

Sweden def. Spain

Poland def. Ukraine

Paraguay def. Côte d'Ivoire

Denmark def. Austria

Korea Rep. def. Chile

Croatia def. Uruguay

England def. Argentina

Brazil def. Netherlands

Egypt def. Japan

France def. Portugal

Switzerland def. Sweden

Poland def. Paraguay

Korea Rep. def. Denmark

Croatia def. England

Brazil def. Egypt

Switzerland def. France

Korea Rep. def. Poland

Brazil def. Croatia

Korea Rep. def. Switzerland

Brazil def. Korea Rep.

This simulates a 48-team World Cup. FIFA rankings were used from December 2021 and are updated after each match and change as a result of playing qualification rounds, and will be updated soon. Friendlies and national championships/interim games are not simulated. The winner of each match is simulated using ELO (a rating system best known for chess) and the FIFA rankings. Pots are seeded using FIFA rules (no more than one team per continent in each pot, two for Europe) unless this is somehow impossible, in which case it will ignore continental restrictions.Qualifying rounds are based on real life qualifying as announced. A preliminary round is also run for the lowest ranked teams in each continent when necessary and is simulated correctly, but not shown.The intercontinental playoff works correctly with the teams with byes seeded by ranking. UEFA playoffs have not been announced yet, it is assumed there will be four playoffs with byes going to the top four second placed teams, though it is possible there will be a Nations League qualifier and three groups of four teams for three spots.To simualate ELO changes, 10 randomly scheduled friendlies and knockout rounds of all continental competitions before 2026 have been simulated in addition to qualifying (Qatar is placed in the CONCACAF cup, and CONCACAF teams are invited to the CONMEBOL tournament.)

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Qualifying Rounds

1 Spain182 Austria123 Albania64 Lithuania0

1 Italy132 Montenegro103 Rep. of Ireland64 Kazakhstan4

1 Portugal152 North Macedonia133 Norway74 Faroe Islands0

1 England182 Turkey93 Northern Ireland64 Armenia3

1 Sweden152 Bulgaria103 Hungary74 Israel2

1 Belgium152 Wales133 Slovakia44 Cyprus3

1 Croatia222 Serbia163 Bosnia & Herzegovina134 Latvia75 Andorra0

1 Netherlands192 Romania163 Azerbaijan144 Iceland55 Moldova2

1 France242 Czechia153 Slovenia124 Estonia95 Gibraltar0

1 Germany202 Ukraine183 Greece114 Belarus95 Liechtenstein0

1 Switzerland242 Scotland163 Finland114 Luxembourg75 Malta0

1 Poland222 Denmark143 Georgia104 Kosovo95 San Marino0

1 New Zealand92 Samoa83 Vanuatu54 Papua New Guinea45 Fiji1

1 Solomon Islands102 American Samoa93 Tonga44 Tahiti45 New Caledonia1

1 Brazil452 Argentina433 Uruguay304 Colombia255 Chile236 Peru217 Paraguay208 Venezuela189 Ecuador1610 Bolivia8

1 El Salvador172 St. Kitts and Nevis153 Belize114 Nicaragua65 Aruba5

1 Haiti202 Trinidad & Tobago193 Bermuda74 Cayman Islands75 Dominican Republic4

1 Panama242 Suriname133 Montserrat104 Dominica65 Cuba3

1 Costa Rica222 Guatemala153 St. Vincent & the Grenadines104 Barbados75 British Virgin Isl.4

1 Jamaica242 Antigua & Barbuda133 Guyana104 Grenada55 US Virgin Isl.5

1 Honduras212 Curaçao153 St. Lucia114 Puerto Rico95 Bahamas16 Canada07 Mexico08 USA0

1 Burkina Faso252 Côte d'Ivoire223 Madagascar174 Libya135 Botswana86 Somalia1

1 Morocco302 Namibia163 South Africa164 Liberia105 Central African Republic96 São Tomé & Príncipe5

1 Egypt302 Zimbabwe173 Gabon124 Guinea-Bissau115 Rwanda106 Chad6

1 Guinea202 Congo203 Mali194 Angola175 Lesotho66 Gambia2

1 Ghana252 Algeria193 Kenya164 Togo165 Comoros86 Mauritius3

1 Mauritania222 Nigeria193 Cabo Verde154 Niger155 Ethiopia126 South Sudan4

1 Senegal272 Congo DR203 Equatorial Guinea174 Djibouti95 Malawi86 Mozambique4

1 Zambia262 Tunisia243 Benin114 Sudan105 Burundi76 Eritrea5

1 Cameroon262 Tanzania163 Eswatini154 Sierra Leone125 Uganda96 Seychelles4

1 Oman162 Japan133 Kuwait64 Indonesia0

1 Australia182 Bangladesh73 Bahrain74 Philippines3

1 Qatar162 Thailand103 Palestine94 Timor-Leste0

1 Korea Rep.162 Hong Kong73 Uzbekistan74 India4

1 UAE122 Syria103 Yemen74 Bhutan4

1 Saudi Arabia182 Korea DPR123 Jordan34 Afghanistan3

1 Myanmar122 Kyrgyz Republic113 Iraq114 Pakistan0

1 Iran152 Vietnam83 Singapore54 Turkmenistan5

1 China PR162 Tajikistan83 Lebanon84 Laos1

Qualifying Rounds

75 Jamaica1676 Curaçao1277 Haiti478 Suriname3

1 Costa Rica162 Guatemala93 Honduras74 St. Kitts and Nevis1

1 El Salvador162 Trinidad & Tobago73 Panama64 Antigua & Barbuda5

1 Japan262 Oman153 Australia144 Korea DPR125 Myanmar106 Vietnam8

1 Iran212 Qatar153 UAE134 Kyrgyz Republic135 Tajikistan96 Bangladesh7

1 Korea Rep.252 Saudi Arabia243 China PR134 Hong Kong125 Thailand96 Syria6

Qualifying Rounds

164 China PR7165 Korea DPR5166 UAE3

1 Australia122 Hong Kong43 Kyrgyz Republic1

UEFA Playoffs

Romania def. Czechia

Austria def. Romania

Ukraine def. Serbia

Ukraine def. Montenegro

Wales def. Scotland

Wales def. North Macedonia

Denmark def. Bulgaria

Denmark def. Turkey

CAF/AFC Playoffs

Tunisia def. Congo

Côte d'Ivoire def. Congo DR

Côte d'Ivoire def. Tunisia

Hong Kong def. Korea DPR

OFC Final

American Samoa def. Solomon Islands

Intercontinental Playoffs

Hong Kong def. Solomon Islands

Curaçao def. Guatemala

Paraguay def. Hong Kong

Côte d'Ivoire def. Curaçao

Continental Competition Winners

Netherlands def. Poland

Senegal def. Algeria

Jamaica def. Canada

Iran def. Oman

Brazil def. USA